Updated Monday, September 28, 2026 at 07:07 (New York time).
Today's economic calendar is light on data but not on news. The highlights are two speeches by ECB President Christine Lagarde and, overnight in the Americas, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate decision. Markets open the week with oil surging (Brent near $108, +4%) after Washington rejected Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and with gold down 3% at $4,155.
Today, Monday September 28
| New York (ET) | London | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:30 | 14:30 | 🇪🇺 Euro area | Speech by Christine Lagarde (ECB) | — | — | Clues on whether the ECB will tighten: moves the euro |
| 10:00 | 15:00 | 🇪🇺 Euro area | Second Lagarde speech | — | — | Same effect; the market wants a line on inflation |
| 00:30 (Tue) | 05:30 (Tue) | 🇦🇺 Australia | RBA rate decision | 4.60% | 4.35% | A 25-bp hike is expected: moves AUD/USD and risk appetite in Asia |
New to economic calendars? Start with our complete guide to the economic calendar.
What matters most today
- Oil and Iran: the story of the day. Brent around $108 and WTI near $96. Expensive crude feeds inflation and strengthens bets on another Fed hike in October (about a 66–70% probability). The result: a firm dollar (dollar index at 101.11), weaker gold and Asian stocks in the red (Kospi −2.7%, Nikkei −0.7%).
- Lagarde: euro-area inflation is released on Friday and is expected at 3.5%–3.8%. If Lagarde points to tighter policy, EUR/USD (1.1372 today, deeply oversold) would have a reason to bounce. We follow it in EUR/USD today.
- Gold: down to $4,155, its lowest in roughly seven weeks. Levels and scenarios in gold price today.
What to watch for the rest of the week
| Day | New York (ET) | London | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday 29 | 10:00 | 15:00 | 🇺🇸 US | JOLTS job openings (August) | 7.11M | 7.27M |
| Tuesday 29 | 10:00 | 15:00 | 🇺🇸 US | Conference Board consumer confidence | 89.4 | 89.4 |
| Wednesday 30 | 08:15 | 13:15 | 🇺🇸 US | ADP private payrolls (September) | — | — |
| Wednesday 30 | 08:30 | 13:30 | 🇺🇸 US | August PCE inflation (m/m) | +0.4% | +0.2% |
| Wednesday 30 | Afternoon | — | 🇨🇴 Colombia | Banco de la República rate decision | — | 12.00% |
| Thursday 1 | 10:00 | 15:00 | 🇺🇸 US | ISM manufacturing (September) | 55.0 | 54.6 |
| Friday 2 | 05:00 | 10:00 | 🇪🇺 Euro area | Flash CPI (September, y/y) | 3.5 – 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Friday 2 | 08:30 | 13:30 | 🇺🇸 US | Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) | 100,000 | 162,000 |
- Wednesday is the big day before NFP: if PCE prints +0.4% or more with oil at $108, an October Fed hike would be almost fully priced. That would weigh on gold and support the dollar.
- Friday 2 closes the week: consensus expects only 100,000 jobs. A much stronger number would lift the dollar; a weaker one would give gold and the euro room. Get ready with our guide to trading NFP in forex and gold and our NFP week preview.
With AIM, AIMPATFX's AI advisor, you can ask at any time which data comes out today and how it might affect your trade, in your own time zone.
Frequently asked questions
What time is the NFP report released?
At 08:30 New York time (13:30 in London while the UK is on summer time). The next one is on Friday, October 2, 2026.
Why does oil matter so much for this week's calendar?
Because it changes how every inflation figure is read. With crude near $108, a hot PCE would be seen as the start of a new wave of price pressure, which makes another Fed hike in October more likely.
Why should a forex trader in the Americas follow the RBA?
It is Australia's central bank. Its decision moves AUD/USD directly and, because it lands during the Asian session, it sets the tone for Tuesday's early hours in gold and stock indices.